In fact, according to the Action Network, underdogs entered play on June 15th with a 39% win rate and a -9.4% ROI. He will be backed up by a bullpen that boasts the fifth-best ERA in the Major Leagues in 2022.īetting on underdogs has not gone well this season. Beeks has pitched to a 1.38 ERA, 2.90 圎RA, and 2.72 xFIP in 26 innings this season. The Rays will counter Severino with a bullpen game, opened by Jalen Beeks, who has been effective in short outings for the Rays. The 28-year-old was limited to just 18 innings of work since 2018, but rust doesn’t seem to be an issue as Severino has posted a 2.80 ERA, 2.57 圎RA, and 3.18 xFIP over 61 innings of work. Severino, like the rest of the Yankees staff, has been superb so far in 2022. The Yankees will try to continue that trend on Thursday night, as they’re -245 favorites behind Luis Severino against the Tampa Bay Rays at Yankee Stadium. That’s an 85.2% win rate, which would equate to average odds of -575. Perhaps more astounding is the fact that the Yankees have closed at -200 or longer in 27 of their 62 games (43.5%) so far this season and have gone 23-4 in those contests.
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